Geelong v Adelaide Over 176.5
Highest edge of the round
Expert analysis, live odds, round-by-round tips and proven strategies to sharpen every bet this AFL season.
Our 5 highest-confidence plays for Round 3, ranked by model edge. Click any row for the full statistical breakdown.
Our statistical model's top value plays for this round.
Highest edge of the round
Model disagrees with market
High-scoring affair predicted
Model predicts blowout
After Round 2 — Updated March 26, 2026
| # | Team | P | W | L | Pts | % | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 191.0 | WWW | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 137.2 | WWW | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 139.5 | WWL | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 118.1 | LWW | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 121.1 | LW | |
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 116.3 | WL | |
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 109.3 | LW | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 104.6 | WL |
Australia's top-rated bookmakers — reviewed and ranked.
March 26 – 29, 2026
Top 8 contenders — pre-season market prices.