Round 11 Tips

Round 11 Recap

Round 11 produced a stack of big margins. Adelaide put 133 on North Melbourne to win by 68 at Adelaide Oval, Fremantle belted Essendon by 43 at Marvel, and Geelong handed Brisbane a 41-point loss at the Gabba. The Saints belted Richmond by 36 and Melbourne dismantled Hawthorn by 39 at the MCG.

Sydney held off Collingwood by 6 at the SCG in a comeback win, Gold Coast hammered Port Adelaide by 25 in Darwin, Carlton edged the Bulldogs by 12, and West Coast got over GWS by 17 at Optus.

Top-two stay clear: Sydney (9-1, 152.2%) and Fremantle (9-1, 134.9%). Geelong (7-3), Gold Coast (7-3) and Melbourne (7-3) are tied for third.

Power Rankings - After Round 11

1. Sydney (9-1) - Nine wins from ten and the only team above 150% on percentage. Travel to GMHBA on Saturday.

2. Fremantle (9-1) - Still unbeaten at Optus. Demolished Essendon by 43.

3. Geelong (7-3) - Belted Brisbane by 41. Host Sydney in the marquee R11 game.

4. Gold Coast (7-3) - Quiet 25-point demolition of Port in Darwin. Now travel to Marvel to face the Roos.

5. Melbourne (7-3) - 39-point belting of Hawthorn at the MCG. Travel to Marvel to face the Dogs on Sunday.

Round 11 Betting Trends

After the teamlists drop the model is Over-first across the round. The standout is Hawthorn vs Adelaide Over 158.5 at 37.9% - model total 188.6 against a market that shortened from 165.0 to 158.5. Five more Overs follow: Richmond/Essendon 173.5 (24.9%), North/Gold Coast 182.5 (24.8%), Bulldogs/Melbourne 189.5 (23.4%), Geelong/Sydney 189.5 (15.6%), and GWS/Brisbane 188.5 (11.7%). Best spread is Collingwood -43.5 v West Coast at 13.5%.