Collingwood Magpies vs West Coast Eagles
MCG
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Collingwood vs West Coast, Round 11 2026
Collingwood Magpies 3-0 in last 3. At the MCG, the model sees Collingwood winning. Model total 174.0 vs market 180.5. Collingwood Magpies -43.5 is our top play.
Market has Collingwood by 43.5. Model has Collingwood by 55.5. That 12.0-point gap gives Collingwood a 13.5% spread edge.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 11
Collingwood Magpies
Team news not yet available.
West Coast Eagles
Team news not yet available.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Collingwood
Collingwood hold a Disposals advantage: 401 vs 344.2 per game.
Last 5 Results
Collingwood
West Coast
Recent Meetings
Last 3 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R16 | Collingwood Magpies | 88 - 59 | West Coast Eagles | Collingwood | L | U |
| 2024 | R9 | Collingwood Magpies | 103 - 37 | West Coast Eagles | Collingwood | W | U |
| 2023 | R12 | West Coast Eagles | 57 - 120 | Collingwood Magpies | Collingwood | L | O |
Collingwood Magpies 3-0 in last 3. The most recent clash saw Collingwood win 88 - 59 at Collingwood in R16 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis
Last five: L L D W W. Collingwood are on two straight losses. Averaging 92.2 scored and 87.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 401. Their home record 1-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
West Coast Eagles Form Analysis
Last five: W L L L L. West Coast are in mixed recent form. Averaging 65.2 scored and 101.8 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 52. Their away record 1-4 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Crisp | Collingwood Magpies | U23.5 | 18.6 | 23.8 | UNDER -4.9 |
| Nick Daicos | Collingwood Magpies | U30.5 | 25.8 | 34.4 | UNDER -4.7 |
| Josh Daicos | Collingwood Magpies | U25.5 | 21.1 | 26.0 | UNDER -4.4 |
| Elliot Yeo | West Coast Eagles | O19.5 | 23.9 | 19.4 | OVER +4.4 |
| Tim Kelly | West Coast Eagles | U23.5 | 20.8 | 24.4 | UNDER -2.7 |
| Liam Baker | West Coast Eagles | O18.5 | 19.8 | 16.6 | OVER +1.3 |
Over Signal: Liam Duggan (West Coast Eagles) - h2h_outlier
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Collingwood Magpies -43.5 | -43.5 | $1.90 | 13.5% edge | Strong | Model has Collingwood Magpies winning by 55.5. Market line: 43.5. Edge: 13.5%. |
| Total | Under 180.5 | 180.5 | $1.88 | 8.9% edge | Moderate | Model total 174.0 vs market 180.5. Gap: 6.5 points. |
| Prop | Jack Crisp Under 23.5 | 23.5 | N/A | 4.9% edge | None | Model has Jack Crisp at 18.6 vs line 23.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Collingwood vs West Coast
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Other Round 11 Tips
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