Fremantle Dockers vs St Kilda Saints
Optus Stadium
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Fremantle vs St Kilda, Round 11 2026
Fremantle carry a 9-game winning streak into Optus Stadium. Model: Fremantle 97.1 - St Kilda 75.5. Max Hall Under 21.5 is our selection.
The market has the total at 174.5. Our model puts it at 172.6, a 1.9-point gap. That is a 2.6% edge on the Under 174.5.
Form and Injury Context
Latest information heading into Round 11
Fremantle Dockers
Team news not yet available.
St Kilda Saints
Team news not yet available.
Key Stats Dashboard
Five-game rolling averages - 2026 season
Fremantle
St Kilda hold a Disposals advantage: 391 vs 367 per game.
Last 5 Results
Fremantle
St Kilda
Recent Meetings
Last 4 matches
| Season | Rnd | Home | Score | Away | Winner | ATS | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R16 | Fremantle Dockers | 81 - 69 | St Kilda Saints | Fremantle | L | U |
| 2025 | R8 | St Kilda Saints | 94 - 33 | Fremantle Dockers | St Kilda | W | U |
| 2024 | R10 | St Kilda Saints | 55 - 72 | Fremantle Dockers | Fremantle | L | U |
| 2023 | R1 | St Kilda Saints | 67 - 52 | Fremantle Dockers | St Kilda | W | U |
Fremantle Dockers 2-2 in last 4. The most recent clash saw Fremantle win 81 - 69 at Fremantle in R16 2025. Three of the last four meetings have produced Under totals.
Form Analysis
Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis
Last five: W W W W W. Fremantle are riding a 9-game winning streak. Averaging 101.2 scored and 73.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Disposals home average sits at 367. Their home record 4-0 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis
Last five: W L W W L. St Kilda are in mixed recent form. Averaging 104.4 scored and 75.2 conceded over the past five games. Their Inside 50s away average sits at 52. Their away record 3-3 in 2026 gives context to where they sit right now.
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers from recent head-to-heads
| Player | Team | Line | Model | 5g Avg | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Hall | St Kilda Saints | U21.5 | 15.5 | 19.6 | UNDER -6.0 |
| Luke Ryan | Fremantle Dockers | U21.5 | 16.0 | 21.4 | UNDER -5.5 |
| Shai Bolton | Fremantle Dockers | U22.5 | 17.2 | 25.0 | UNDER -5.3 |
| Bradley Hill | St Kilda Saints | U21.5 | 17.9 | 22.0 | UNDER -3.6 |
| Jackson Macrae | St Kilda Saints | U21.5 | 19.1 | 20.4 | UNDER -2.4 |
| Caleb Serong | Fremantle Dockers | U24.5 | 22.5 | 23.0 | UNDER -2.0 |
Note: in-play betting on AFL is prohibited online in Australia. All player prop markets must be placed pre-game.
H2H Standout Performers
Ranked Bet Recommendations
| Market | Bet | Line | Price | Edge | Confidence | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prop | Max Hall Under 21.5 | 21.5 | N/A | 6.0% edge | None | Model has Max Hall at 15.5 vs line 21.5. (price not available from market) |
Prediction & Best Bet
Where to Bet on Fremantle vs St Kilda
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Other Round 11 Tips
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