VS
Collingwood Magpies vs GWS Giants
Model Predicted Score — Collingwood by 8.3
Key Stats Dashboard
Collingwood (green) vs GWS (gold)
Recent Meetings
Last 3 matches: Collingwood 1-2 · Avg margin: -6.3
| Season | Round | Score | Margin | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | R0 | 52-104 | -52 | L |
| 2024 | R0 | 82-114 | -32 | L |
| 2023 | R9 | 120-55 | +65 | W |
Last 5 Results
Collingwood
GWS
Collingwood have been inconsistent in recent form, averaging 68.2 points scored and 80.8 conceded (-12.6 margin). GWS come in with strong form, averaging 92.8 scored and 95.2 conceded (-2.4 margin).
Key Matchup Factors
Top statistical advantages from our model
Player Props & Watch List
Model disposal leans and standout performers
| Player | Team | Line | Model | Lean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Daicos | Collingwood | U26.5 | 24.9 | UNDER -1.6 |
| Dan Houston | Collingwood | U25.5 | 18.4 | UNDER -7.1 |
| Lachlan Ash | GWS | U29.5 | 23.1 | UNDER -6.4 |
H2H Standout Performers
Prediction & Best Bet
GWS have dominated this fixture recently with two heavy pre-season wins, but the home-and-away dynamic is different. Collingwood's intercept game is elite — forcing 69 turnovers per game — which should keep GWS's attacking entries in check. Our model has this at 189.2 total points vs the market line of 176.0, giving us a 17.3% edge on the over. Both teams have been leaking goals: Collingwood conceding 80.8 per game and GWS conceding 95.2. Nick Daicos is the x-factor — he went for 41 disposals when these teams last met in a proper home-and-away game. Back the over.
Where to Bet on Collingwood vs GWS
Our recommended bookmakers for this match.